تطوير إطار كمي لتقييم استدامة مشاريع الطاقة الشمسية في الدول النامية تطبيق مقارن على ثلاثة مشاريع وطنية في ليبيا

Abstract

This study develops a quantitative framework for assessing the sustainability of solar energy projects in developing countries and applies it comparatively to three national projects in Libya with different operational and developmental functions. The proposed framework consists of five dimensions: technical, economic, environmental, social, and governance.

 It uses sustainable performance indicators that are normalized on a common scale ranging from zero to one. The Analytic Hierarchy Process is applied to determine the relative weights of the dimensions and indicators, after which the results are aggregated into a Composite Sustainability Index.

 The case studies include a photovoltaic rural electrification project, a solar radiation measurement stations project, and a project involving the installation of solar systems in healthcare facilities. The results indicate that the healthcare facilities project achieved the highest Composite Sustainability Index, followed by the rural electrification project and the measurement stations project. However, the results should be interpreted cautiously because the projects perform different functions, particularly because the measurement stations project does not directly generate electricity but supports future solar energy planning.

The study concludes that the proposed framework can support planning and financing decisions, provided that data sources, calculation procedures, and sensitivity analysis are fully documented and reproducible.